The war between the West and Iran has already started?

I commentator I respect for usually being hesitant to spread conspiracy theories made this suggestion last night. Actually, he asked the question, but he provided lots of evidence suggesting it may be on the verge.

Iran is getting close to intercontinental nuclear missile capability.  Israel will feel compelled to do something and the US would also be very tempted.   They have clearly been having very high level discussions about what, when, and how to do something.  Plus . . .

1.  The explosion at the Iranian cruise missile facility was most likely done by US/Israel but no one is taking credit for it.
2.  The CIA drone that Iran now has (either shot down or they just got lucky when it crashed) contained strategic technology.  And just the fact that it was over Iranian territory suggests CIA surveillance for something . . .
3.  Iran is whipping up its population - see the assault on the British Embassy.
4.  Iranian ally Syria needs to do something to take the pressure off its internal rebellion.
5.  Iranian allies Hamas and Fatah are reconciling, which puts them at the ready to attack Israel
6.  Iranian ally Hezbollah has been re-arming for years since the brief war with Israel. 
7.  Diplomatically, Iran has gotten the assurance of Russia and China that the UN Security Council won't be passing any resolutions against them.
8.  The European financial crisis means they don't have the energy or the money to support anything against Iran.
9.  The US has become so depleted in Iran and Afghanistan that they don't have the military financial resources or the public energy for another Middle East conflict.
10.  Turkey is getting very nervous about the developments in Syria and Iran.

None of these are proof, but they all add a little bit of strength to the suspicion.  Something might be close.  This could make Iraq and Afghanistan conflicts look like the invasion of Grenada.