As things heat up in the South China Sea in the dispute
between China and the rest of the region (Philippines, Japan, Korea, Taiwan,
Malaysia, and even Brunei – all with US support), there is a more fun example
brewing on this side of the world.
In 1845, a British ship went down in the Arctic in a quest
to find the Northwest Passage. The ship
has recently been discovered by the Canadians and they are trying to use the salvage
operation as a way to establish sovereignty for the area. This is a direct parallel to the Chinese
activities. The Chinese are going to
claim that their activities building reefs and establishing bases on them
demonstrate sovereignty over the area, which is full of fishing, oil and gas,
and military benefits. Canada wants to
do the same thing here. With the melting
of the ice caps, there is a lot more potential for economic activity in terms
of oil and gas exploration, shipping lanes, and more.
But instead of
building bases, they are salvaging a piece of history. As the inheritor of the British colony of
Canada, they claim that the sunken wreck is part of Canadian history. Its
presence and subsequent salvage gives them a legal path to claim the area.
Then there is another interesting twist. The US has come out against Canada. Not because it could set a precedent that
would help China in the South China Sea, but because it could set a precedent
for Iran to claim the Straight of Hormuz. Iran has similar activities over
there. And Iranian control of the major
oil shipping lane would be a huge shift in the geopolitical balance.
Don’t play checkers when the opponents are playing chess !